Kristjan Tamm vs Luca Castelnuovo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Luca Castelnuovo's second serve points win percentage in recent form surpasses Kristjan Tamm with 46.68% compared to 44.10%. Could this be a deciding factor? It's certainly a strong indication.
• When it comes to returning opponents’ second serve points, Kristjan Tamm edges out slightly with 43.58% over Luca Castelnuovo's 43.51%.
• Tamm has displayed superior prowess in first serve returns with a 24.59% success rate, compared to Castelnuovo's 19.65%, hinting at an edge in this aspect.
• Under pressure, Castelnuovo shows resilience by saving 55.05% of breakpoints, slightly outshining Tamm's 52.78%.
• In the past year, Luca Castelnuovo has a significantly higher match win percentage (67.11%) compared to Kristjan Tamm's 55.36%.
• Castelnuovo’s best-performing surface is indoor hard courts (58% win rate), contrasting with Tamm's best on hard courts with an identical win rate.
• Both players frequent the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K level, but Castelnuovo boasts a better win rate at 70.97% compared to Tamm's 57.41%.
• Direct head-to-head matches see Castelnuovo with a clear advantage, having won their only previous encounter 6-2, 6-2 on carpet.
• Matches between these players are typically brief, averaging one hour and three minutes.
• Interestingly, despite playing more matches against higher-ranked opponents, Kristjan Tamm's overall performance may not reflect a stronger advantage.
• Deciding sets see Castelnuovo with a narrow lead, securing victory in 48% of instances over Tamm's 46% in the past year.

Editorial Prediction (October 22, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents a fascinating clash of styles with dynamic elements that could sway the outcome. Luca Castelnuovo’s superiority on second serve performance and his ability to remain composed under pressure may prove pivotal.

Kristjan Tamm offers resistance with enhanced first serve return statistics, yet Castelnuovo’s overall better win percentages on crucial fronts, coupled with his previous success in their head-to-head match, weighs heavily in his favor.

Taking into account these factors, and given Castelnuovo’s strong background in recent performances across various surfaces and conditions, he emerges as the favorite to win the encounter against Kristjan Tamm.